Friday, April 20, 2018

Brexit and NATO: Never the twain shall meet?


A piece for the Dahrendorf Forum, written with James Dennison, about how Brexit might have influenced UK public views of NATO and European defence spending. 

Full article here: http://www.dahrendorf-forum.eu/brexit-nato-eu-defence/ 



Tuesday, April 10, 2018

The EU's Brexit Mistakes - Part 2: Misinterpreting Brexit

Britain has made numerous mistakes over Brexit, but the European Union's record also needs to be analysed. In this second of a three-part series that appeared on the Clingendael Spectator, I look at some of the ways in which the rest of the EU has misinterpreted Brexit

The second post can be found here: https://spectator.clingendael.org/en/publication/eus-brexit-mistakes-part-ii-misinterpreting-brexit 


The first post in the series can be found here: https://spectator.clingendael.org/nl/publicatie/eus-brexit-mistakes-part-i-misguiding-britain 



Friday, March 30, 2018

Video and podcast - 2017: Europe's bumper year of elections

The EUI have uploaded videos from the conference '2017: Europe's bumper year of elections.' You can see the whole collection here. The UK general election panel includes presentations by James Dennison and Richard Rose. Below is the video of what was supposed to be my '5 minutes' as discussant, but which obviously turned into 10 minutes. Podcast is available here.


Monday, March 12, 2018

The EU's Brexit Mistakes - Part 1: Misguiding Britain

Britain has made numerous mistakes over Brexit, but the European Union's record also needs to be analysed. In the first of a three-part series that appeared on the Clingendael Spectator, I look at some of the things the EU has got wrong about Brexit.

The first post in the series can be found here: https://spectator.clingendael.org/nl/publicatie/eus-brexit-mistakes-part-i-misguiding-britain 


LSE alumni speaking events in USA

Next month I'll be attending conferences in San Francisco and Washington D.C. I'll also be speaking to the LSE alumni groups in both cities.

In San Francisco1001 things to do before you Brexit. I'll be speaking with Peter Wilson and another member of the LSE's staff.


In Washington D.C.A View to a Brexit: The Causes, Consequences and Meaning of Brexit.


UK panel at EUI conference - 2017: Europe's bumper year of elections

A pleasure to chair the UK panel at last week's EUI conference '2017: Europe's bumper year of elections' which also launched the EUI's newly established European Governance and Politics Programme.

The UK panel consisted of James Dennison (EUI) and Richard Rose (EUI and Strathclyde).




Thursday, February 15, 2018

Photos from the NYC LSE Alumni event

On Monday 5 February, I spoke to the LSE's NYC Alumni group about Brexit. Below are some photos of the event. The lecture slides can be found here.







Monday, February 12, 2018

Talk at Harvard's Belfer Center

Last Wednesday I delivered a talk entitled 'The Never Ending Brexit? The Causes, Consequences and Meaning of Brexit' at Harvard University Kennedy School's Belfer Center for International Relations. My thanks to Cathryn Cl├╝ver Ashbrook for organising and chairing.








Sunday, February 04, 2018

Talks at last week's HRPA Conference in Toronto

I delivered two lectures at last week's HRPA conference in Toronto. 

'An Update on Brexit' gives a brief overview of the causes of Brexit and where negotiations have gone in the past year. 

'A Year in Review: Trump, May, Macron and Merkel' looks back at some of the key developments in US, UK, French and German politics. 

My thanks to Gerald Wu for inviting me back. 



Speaking at Harvard University's Belfer Center, this Wednesday

I'll be speaking at the Belfer Center this Wednesday on the subject of 'The Never Ending Brexit? The Causes, Consequences and Meaning of Brexit'.

Details here: https://www.belfercenter.org/event/never-ending-brexit-causes-consequences-and-meaning-brexit-conversation-dr-tim-oliver


Thursday, December 28, 2017

It Wouldn't be Christmas Without Bond

Christmas means Bond films, especially in that weird period between Christmas and New Year when we all lose track of what day of the week it is. Here are my seasonal top 5.

1. OHMSS. Go Lazenby. On Her Majesty's Secret Service stands apart from the rest not just because it's George Lazenby's sole outing as Bond. More important are a plot that works, Diana Rigg, and what will always be the most brutal ending to any Bond film. It's even set around Christmas.

Bunt: [A girl writes on Bond's leg under the table, to which Bond makes an awkward face] Is anything ze matter, Sir Hilary? 
Bond: Just a slight stiffness coming on... in the shoulder.


2. Goldeneye. The first Bond I saw at a cinema was Pierce Brosnan in Goldeneye, a film that stylishly brought 007 back to life. As becomes clear as you read through the rest of this list, the plot of 007 stopping a space-based nuke is a tweak on a common enough story. Helping the film to such an elevated status is the N64 game, which remains one of the best computer games I've ever played.

Onatopp: You don't need the gun, commander. 
Bond: Well, that depends on your definition of safe sex.


3. Goldfinger. If you can excuse Sean Connery’s Bond wearing a towelling playsuit, then this is a classic Bond film with a nuke, the Aston Martin every man wants to own, and Pussy Galore. 'Do you expect me to talk?' 'NO, Mr Bond. I expect you to die.' But Bond still stops that nuke.

Bond: Ejector seat? You’re joking!
Q: I never joke about my work, 007.


4. Thunderball. This film always makes me think of jetpacks and the RAF’s delta-winged Vulcan bombers. Of course, a Vulcan bomber and its nuclear payload are stolen and used by SPECTRE to try and blackmail the West. And of course, it’s 007 to the rescue.

Bond: Do you mind if my friend sits this one out? She's just dead.


5. Live and Let Die. Roger Moore's first outing as Bond is one of his best and will always be remembered for Baron Samedi, its racial politics, and 007 wearing flared jeans.

Bond: Lovers lesson number two; togetherness 'till death do us part, or thereabouts.
Solitaire: Is there time before we leave for lesson number three?
Bond: Absolutely. There's no sense in going off half-cocked.

As for the rest—

6. Skyfall. Bond blows up his family home and loses M. 

7. Casino Royale. 'I've got a little itch down there, would you mind?'

8. The Spy Who Loved Me. The one with the Union Jack parachute opening, the Lotus Esprit that's turns into a submarine, Jaws and lots of stolen nukes in stolen nuclear submarines. It's a bit of a nuke-fest.

9. Moonraker. 007 heads into space and Jaws becomes a good guy.

10. Spectre. Bond blows up MI6 HQ and fights his lost brother (of sorts) in a plot similar to the parody of Austin Powers.

11. Tomorrow Never Dies. Bond goes after a warmongering Rupert Murdoch.

12. You Only Live Twice. 007 destroys a big rocket base hidden inside a Japanese volcano and stops nuclear war.

13. The World is Not Enough. Villain steals some nuclear weapons to blackmail the West via threatening an oil pipeline. 007 to the rescue.

14. The Man with the Golden Gun. Christopher Lee as a $1 million a shot assassin.

15. From Russia With Love. Bond steals a Russian typewriter that can decode messages, probably ones about nuclear weapons. 

16. The Living Daylights. Bond goes to Afghanistan.

17. For Your Eyes Only. Bond retrieves a British typewriter lost at sea that can decode nuclear messages.

18. Licence to Kill. Bond quits to become a drug dealer.

19. A View to a Kill. An ageing Roger Moore stops a Nazi-bred experiment from using a nuclear weapon to destroy San Francisco.

20. Diamonds are Forever. Bond enjoys himself in Amsterdam and Vegas in order to stop a weapon that is essentially a glorified diamond necklace in space.

21. Quantum of Solace. Plot? I don't know, but no nukes in this one, although they would have helped. 

22. Octopussy. 007 stops a nuclear weapon going off while dressed as a clown.

23. Dr No. 'That's a Smith and Wesson, and you've had your six.' The first film is a classic but I find it tedious. 

24. Die Another Day. The one with North Koreans and far too much CGI.