Friday, June 23, 2017

Assessing the Value of Regionally Aligned Forces in Army Security Cooperation

While a TAPIR Fellow at RAND in 2014 I contributed to research that was recently published in a report assessing the value of Regionally Aligned Forces. The report is focused on US Army efforts in this area, but there are some brief sections exploring similar efforts by the British and French armies. 

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1341z1.html 


Dissecting the Elexit

It's one year since the EU referendum, so I had to say something... 

Britain’s recent General Election and its unanticipated outcome marks the latest chapter in the political turbulence that has characterised the last twelve months since the EU referendum. However LSE Ideas Associate and former Dahrendorf Postdoctoral Fellow Tim Oliver argues that the election was not in fact about Brexit, although it does now leave the timing of Brexit in flux.

Full article here: http://www.dahrendorf-forum.eu/dissecting-the-elexit/


Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Saturday, June 17, 2017

A Bibliography of Books on Brexit

Britain’s relations with the EU and the rest of Europe have long fascinated authors. The result has been a wealth of books on the topic, to say nothing of the media and academic journal articles, and reports from think tanks, government, the EU and other European governments, businesses, charities, NGOs, law firms and consultancies.

Britain’s vote to leave has added more choice. As part of a recent book proposal I had to produce a list of books published on UK-EU relations since the referendum, and I thought it would be helpful to publish that list here and try to update it regularly. I focus here on books and not the far too numerous reports or articles.

I list the books here in alphabetical order with no divisions based on quality, background or political slant. If I’ve missed a book then please email me the details via timloliver@gmail.com Also, please take a look at my regularly updated Brexicon: A Dictionary of Brexit, which is also summarised here.

  • M. Ashcroft and K. Culwick, Well, You Did Ask…: Why the UK voted to leave the EU, Biteback, 2016, £9.99 (PB), £3.89 (Kindle). Looks at the available data on how and why the British people voted as they did. Published quickly, draws on a wide range of sources, not least that backed by Lord Ashcroft’s own polling, focuses on the campaign and polling, with little analysis of the future, history, or implications for the EU.
  • D. Bailey and L. Budd, The Political Economy of Brexit, Agenda, 2017, £16.99 (PB), £16.99 (Kindle). An edited collection of academic analyses with a focus on political economy, but also some domestic political issues such as the unity of the UK, and the future of the EU. Ideal for postgraduate readers studying political economy and with an existing knowledge of the topic of UK-EU relations.
  • O. Bennett, The Brexit Club, Biteback, 2016, £12.99 9PB), £7.91 (Kindle). A popular account of what happened inside the Leave campaigns.
  • H. Clarke, M. Goodwin and P. Whiteley, Brexit: Why Britain voted to leave the European Union, CUP, 2017, £49.99 (HB), £15.99 (PB). The most comprehensive analysis so far of the vote, with a focus on voting behaviour over time and giving some pointers as to where Brexit goes next.
  • T.J. Coles, The Great Brexit Swindle: Why the mega-rich and free market fanatics conspired to force Britain from the EU, Clairview Books, 2016, £11.68 (PB), £6.47 (Kindle). A provocative book focusing on the neoliberal backers of Brexit and the deceitful way in which Leave supporters were drawn to an agenda that will not be fulfilled or benefit them.
  • I. Dunt, Brexit: What the Hell happens now? Canbury Press, 2016, £5.59 (PB), £3.99 (Kindle). Written by a journalist in the immediate aftermath of the vote, it looks at the future giving a popular – but Remain leaning – account of what may unfold.
  • G. Gibbon, Breaking Point: The UK referendum on the EU and its aftermath, Uni of Chicago Press, 2017, £13.00 (PB) £6.47 (Kindle). A short analysis by political editor of C4 News looking into what drove Brexit with some analysis of what it could mean for the rest of the EU. Strengths:
  • A. Glencross, Why the UK voted for Brexit, Routledge Pivot series, 2016, £36.99 (HB), £24.69 (Kindle). A short academic analysis of the referendum divided into four sections covering the history of Euroscepticism, the renegotiation, the campaign, and the future handling of Brexit. It focuses on the nature of direct democracy in the UK and the nature of Euroscepticism.
  • E. Guild, Brexit and its Consequences for UK and EU Citizenship or Monstrous Citizenship, Brill, 2017, €54 (HB). An analysis of the potential implications of Brexit for citizenship. Strengths: detailed analysis of issue concerning many people. Weakness: too focused on citizenship.
  • D. Hannan, What Next: How to get the best from Brexit, Head of Zeus, 2016, £9.99 (PB), £3.69 (Kindle). Written by longstanding Eurosceptic Dan Hannan, it offers a Leavers analysis of where Britain and UK-EU relations can go next with a focus on the nature of UK democracy.
  • F. Harrison and M. Gaffney, Beyond Brexit: The blueprint, Land Research Trust, 2016, £8.00 (PB). Looks at Brexit from the perspective of taxation (especially land taxes) and political economy, arguing for reform of both to enable a post-Brexit Britain to succeed.
  • D. Kauders, Understanding Brexit Options: What future for Britain? Sparkling books, 2016, £11.99 (PB), £2.37 (Kindle). A short book, written around the time of the vote and in a non-academic way, describing the various options facing the UK on leaving the EU. Backed remaining in the EU.
  • D. MacShane, Brexit: How Britain will leave the EU, I.B.Tauris, 2016, £8.99 (PB), £8.54 (Kindle). A readable, provocative analysis written before the referendum looking at the reasons why Britain was likely to vote leave.
  • D. MacShane, Brexit: How Britain will stay in the EU, I.B.Tauris, 2017 (forthcoming). Will be a follow-up to his previous book, but with a focus on the limits of Brexit.
  • J. Montague and J. Pick, The Brexit Years: a handbook for survivors, ATWP, 2017, £10.95 (PB), £4.99 (Kindle). A short attempt at a satirical analysis of the referendum and its outcome.
  • J. Morphet, Beyond Brexit: How to assess the UK’s future, Policy Press, 2017, £9.99 (PB), £8.39 (Kindle). A detailed academic analysis focused on the potential implications of Brexit across a wide range of institutions and policy areas.
  • M. Mosbacher and O. Wiseman, Brexit revolt: How the UK voted to leave the EU, New Culture forum, 2016, £10 (PB), £4.99 (Kindle) A short contemporary history written by Eurosceptics explaining how the Leave campaign won.
  • H. Mount, Summer Madness: How Brexit split the Tories, destroyed Labour and divided the country, Biteback, 2016, £12.99 (PB), £7.47 (Kindle). A quickly published insider account of the campaign.
  • C. Oliver, Unleashing Demons: The inside story of Brexit, Hodder and Stoughton, 2016, £20 (HB), £9.99 (PB), £20 (Kindle). An insider’s account by Cameron’s Communications Director of what happened during the campaign. One of the best insiders accounts.
  • W. Outhwaite, Brexit: Sociological Responses, Anthem Press, 2017, £70 (HB), £32.27 (PB), £29.39 (Kindle). An edited academic analysis of a wide range of issues connected to Brexit. Comprehensive in coverage, academic in analysis.
  • D. Owen and D. Ludlow, British Foreign Policy After Brexit, Biteback, July 2017, £12.99. A forthcoming book looking at the way forward for UK foreign policy.
  • T. Shipman, All Out War: The full story of how Brexit sank Britain’s political class, William Collins, 2016, £25 (HB), £9.99 (PB), £25 (Kindle). A popular account of both the Remain and Leave campaigns. Another good insiders account.
Updated: 18 June 2017.

Prague European Summit 2017

Last week I spoke at the Prague European Summit 2017 on the panel 'Brexit: Bad or Worse?' Other speakers on the panel included: 

Steffan De Rynck, Advisor for Outreach and Think Tanks, Brexit Task Force of European Commission 
Emmy van Deurzen, Director, New Europeans
Martin Povejšil, Ambassador, Permanent Representative of the Czech Republic to the EU 


Chair: Tom Nuttall, Charlemagne Columnist, Economist




Wednesday, June 14, 2017

LSE IDEAS Alumni weekend

Last weekend I spoke at alumni gathering for the LSE IDEAS MSc International Strategy and Diplomacy. The panel was on Brexit and was chaired by Mick Cox with talks also from Uta Staiger and Jennifer Jackson-Preece.


Full photo album here.

Wednesday, June 07, 2017

Talking Brexit at the Università degli Studi di Milano

Spoke this morning about Brexit to students taking part in the summer school 'Law and Bilateral Trade: North America - Europe' organised by the Università degli Studi di Milano and the Université de Montréal. 



Jean Monnet Fellow at the EUI, Florence

From September I will be living in Florence for a year where I will be a Jean Monnet Fellow at the European University Institute. It goes without saying that I'm looking forward to it. 


Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Book Review: Brexit: Why Britain Voted to Leave the European Union

My review of the new book on Brexit by Harold Clarke, Matthew Goodwin and Paul Whiteley. It's the best attempt so far to answer the question of why Britain voted for Leave.

Full review here: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/05/12/book-review-brexit-why-britain-voted-to-leave-the-european-union/



Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Globalization, domestic politics, and transatlantic relations

A joint-authored article with Brian Burgoon and Peter Trubowitz looking at the state of transatlantic relations. 

Abstract: For two decades after the fall of the Berlin Wall, globalization functioned as a unifying force in the West. In the absence of a common security threat, the United States and Europe found common ground in a neoliberal agenda calling for the freer movements of capital, goods, services, and peoples across national boundaries. Today, support for that neoliberal agenda has been rapidly weakening across the West. Drawing on a variety of quantitative measures, we show that Western support for globalization has declined, both at the level of national policy and at the level of party politics. We argue that this erosion of domestic support for globalization is closely linked to the rise of populist parties in Europe and the USA. We consider the implications of this shift in the West’s domestic politics for the future of transatlantic cooperation and leadership.

Full article here: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41311-017-0040-1


Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Never mind the Brexit? Britain, Europe, the world and Brexit

My latest on Brexit, published in International Politics

Abstract: Britain’s vote to withdraw from the EU came as an unexpected shock to many in the UK, the rest of the EU and around the world. The UK and the remaining EU now face a fraught and potentially lengthy period of negotiations to settle Brexit. How might this change Europe? And how might it change the rest of the world’s views of Europe? This article looks at how Brexit could shape worldviews of Europe. It does so firstly by looking at the international and European roles Britain sees for itself and how the rest of Europe views those roles. The article then turns to views of both the UK and the EU from the USA, Russia and China. It argues that neither the UK nor the EU should overlook how external perceptions of Europe, the UK and Brexit matter because they will determine the strategic context in which the Brexit negotiations unfold.

Full article here: 
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41311-017-0043-y 

We need to talk about the London question

In this post for the UCL Constitution unit's blog I consider how London is talked about in UK politics, how we can assess claims that London has become too powerful and distinct from the rest of the UK, and how London’s place in the UK can be managed. I suggest that there are three broad approaches that can be taken to the ‘London question’: the status quo, separating the UK and/or England from London and devolved government for London.

https://constitution-unit.com/2017/05/10/we-need-to-talk-about-the-london-question/