Brexit Response Pits Economics Against Political Unity

A few words for Voice of America on the potential divisions that could develop in the Brexit divorce negotiations:

http://www.voanews.com/content/eu-founders-meet-as-brexit-response-pits-economics-against-political-unity/3391968.html

Brexit, Stage Left

A piece for the Mark News:

Britain’s vote to leave the EU was supposed to help settle Britain’s ‘European Question’ instead, it has thrown up more questions than answers. 

http://www.themarknews.com/2016/06/28/brexit-stage-left/

Media coverage from the last week

It's been a busy week. The list below does not cover TV, radio or event appearances. 

How the UK Could Remain in the EU Despite a Vote to Leave

The New York Times Online, 24.06.2016  '...the Hotel California in the Eagles song," said Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign...'

Also in MSN News US, FOX News Channel Online, Breitbart, Global News, KOMO-TV Online, Townhall Magazine Online, The Telegram Online, CJAD-AM Online, Canadian Business Online, Khaleej Times – Online, Truro Daily News Online, CIWW-AM (1310 News) – Online, MAX 104.9, CFXY-FM (The Fox) – Online,  Rocket News, Greenfield Daily Reporter – Online, 99.5 FM Cat Country, WSDL 90.7 – Online. 

Brexit Will Fundamentally Change The Future Of Europe

The Huffington Post, 25.06.2016

...over the past few years have been just as much about European unity,” London School of Economics' Tim Oliver wrote...

Future of UK Hangs in Balance as Brexit Polls Open ABC News Online, 24.06.2016

...Tim Oliver, a Dahrendorf fellow for Europe-North American relations at the London School of Economics. "It's about...

Also in: Yahoo News

The Latest: British media: 'Leave' sidewill win EU vote The Miami Herald Online, 24.06.2016

...had suffered from "a degree of complacency." Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign...

Also in Associated Press Online, Castanet.net, Canada.com, WTHR-TV Online, The Province Online, Chattanooga Times Free Press Online, Calgary Herald Online, Townhall Magazine Online, Blogs.Montrealgazette.com, WTVC-TV Online, CBS San Francisco – Online, The New Indian Express, KWWL-TV Online, The Edmonton Journal Online, KUTV-TV Online, KFMB-AM (760 AM Talk Radio) – Online, Lethbridge Herald, WVLT-TV Online, The York Dispatch Online, State Journal Online, CTV News Channel Online, Aurora Sentinel – Online, WICS-TV – Online,

No, Donald Trump Doesn't Explain Brexit POLITICO Online, 23.06.2016

...from this big metropolitan giant,” notes Tim Oliver, a professor at the London School of Economics and Political...

Royaume-Uni et UE: un mariage de convenance tourmenté

LE POINT - ONLINE, 24.06.2016

...avant le référendum Tim Oliver, spécialiste en politique étrangère de la London School of Economics. Pour commencer, le...

Royaume-Uni et UE: un mariage de convenance tourmenté -L'Express L'EXPRESS - ONLINE, 24.06.2016

...avant le référendum Tim Oliver, spécialiste en politique étrangère de la London School of Economics. Pour commencer,...

awkward marriage ends in divorce The News International, 25.06.2016

...that has helped drive euroscepticism in Britain," said Tim Oliver of the London School of Economics. "The other face,...

Also in: Yahoo! News (UK), Dhaka Tribune, Yahoo! Singapore Online, India Tribune,

Brexit: El Reino Unido y la UE, un matrimonio mal avenidodesde el principio Inversión & Finanzas Online, 24.06.2016

...a alimentar el euroescepticismo en Reino Unido", explica Tim Oliver de la London School of Economics. "La otra cara, la...

After poisonous campaign, British vote on EU ties shapes upas cliffhanger Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Online, 23.06.2016

...could mean a million different things,” said Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign...

Trump cerca i riflettori della Brexit, ma la Scozia non lovuole formiche, 23.06.2016

...e politiche decennali. Però come ha spiegato il professore della London School of Economics and Political Science Tim...

Brexit : le Royaume-Uni vote pour la sortie de l'Unioneuropéenne Midi Libre - Online, 24.06.2016

...sur le pragmatisme économique, constate Iain Begg, professeur à la London School of Economics (LSE). La première...

UK broadcasters project that Britain has voted to leave the28-nation European Union in historic referendum Deseret News Online, 24.06.2016

... Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign...

'Remain' side in Britain too complacent Waco Tribune-Herald Online, 27.06.2016

... Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign...

Britain decides to leave the European Union CHED-AM Online, 24.06.2016 

...a vote on, or understand what's at stake.” Tim Oliver, a fellow at the London School of Economics' IDEAS foreign policy...

Reino Unido y la UE, un matrimonio mal avenido desde elprincipio Globedia (ES), 24.06.2016 

...a alimentar el euroescepticismo en Reino Unido", explica Tim Oliver, de la London School of Economics. "La otra cara,...

Cum poate ramane Marea Britanie in UE, desi a votat BREXIT/ANALIZA Ziua News, 26.06.2016 

...a explicat unul dintre colaboratorii centrului de analiză IDEAS de la London School of Economics, Tim Oliver. O mare...

BREXIT. AP: In Profunzime, 25.06.2016 

...a explicat unul dintre colaboratorii centrului de analiza IDEAS de la London School of Economics, Tim Oliver. O mare...

Brexit Response Pits Economics Against Political Unity -Herald Globe Herald Globe, 26.06.2016 

...make for an easy settlement, said Tim Oliver, a political professor at the London School of Economics. "It's not going...

Also in Israel Herald, Nigeria Sun, Argentinastar.com

Why Brexit Isn't Just British World Policy Blog, 23.06.2016

...limited to Britain itself. Too much of the Brexit coverage, argues the London School of Economics' Tim Oliver, is...

After the referendum: what now?

I spoke yesterday at an LSE IDEAS and Sarasin & Partners event discussing what happens now the referendum result is known. Details below. Video of the conference to follow.

Discussing devolution to London on BBC London

I question whether Boris Johnson as prime minister will live up to his promise as Mayor of London to seek more devolution of powers to the metropolis...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b07hjc7j/london-news-27062016  

Forget independence for London – but the capital now needs its own devolved government more than ever

I wrote a while ago on the need to grant devolution to London. The referendum result saw London along with Scotland and N Ireland (and several other cities such as Liverpool and Manchester) vote remain. The result has led to calls for London to seek independence. That's not going to happen. But a devolved government for London can and should... 

http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/london-needs-its-own-devolved-government/ 

How will the EU interpret the Brexit vote?

How is the EU going to interpret the British vote to withdraw from the EU? As Tim Oliver explains, the remaining members of the EU now face three challenges: finding a unified initial response, finding a reliable UK government to begin negotiations with, and reflecting on what it means for current ideas of European integration and unity.
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexitvote/2016/06/24/how-will-the-eu-interpret-the-brexit-vote/ 

Brexit, Grexit... we all fall down?

Video of a lecture I gave on 3 June at a University of Hamburg conference on 'Solidarity and its crisis in the EU'.

Video: https://lecture2go.uni-hamburg.de/veranstaltungen/-/v/19586

My publications on Brexit

Over the past few years I've written a lot on what a British exit might mean for the EU and so with the referendum upon us I thought I should list all my publications on this topic in one place.

Those of you who know me know my own political preference on this. It leaves me in the strange position of hoping that a lot of my work on Brexit is wasted! 

Reports and journal articles

• 'Brexit: what happens next?' LSE IDEAS Strategic Update, June 2016.
• A Harsh Brexit Scenario, CIDOB and LSE, June 2016.
• ‘European and International Views of a Potential Brexit’ Journal of European Public Policy, May 2016.
• With Mike J. Williams, ‘Special relationships in Flux: Brexit and the US-EU andUS-UK relationships’ International Affairs, Vol. 92(3), May 2016
• ‘What would a Brexit mean for the EU?’ Dahrendorf Analysis, March 2016
• The Referendum Will Not be the End of the Story, Federal Trust, February 2016.
• The Geopolitics of Brexit, LSE IDEAS Strategic Update, February 2016.
• ‘Europe’s British question: The UK-EU relationship in a changing Europe andmultipolar world.’ Global Society, Vol. 29(3), July 2015
• ‘To be or not to be in Europe: is that the question? Britain’s EuropeanQuestion and an In-Out Referendum.’ International Affairs, Vol. 91(1), January 2015.
• Tim Oliver and Almut Möller (eds.), Britain outside Europe? A compilationof views of the UK-EU relationship from 26 countries in Europe and around theworld.  Foreword by Alexander Stubb, Prime Minister of Finland. DGAP, Berlin, September 2014.
• ‘Awkwardly Ever After: What if… Britain had voted to leave the EEC in 1975?’ in What if the EU …? Eds. Roderick Parkes and Almut Möller, DGAP, 2014.
• Europe Without Britain: Assessing the potential implications for the EU of aBritish withdrawal, SWP 18,000 word Research Paper, September 2013.
• 'Why an In-Out Referendum Won’t Settle the European Question in BritishPolitics’ SWP Comment, May 2013.

Parliamentary evidence

• With Almut Möller, evidence submitted to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee’s inquiry into The costs and benefits of EU membership forthe UK's role in the world, October 2015. 
• Written evidence on the geopolitical implications of a Brexit submitted to the House of Commons Joint Committee’s inquiry into the next National Security Strategy. House of Commons, London, UK. 84-88, 2014.
• With Dan Hamilton, Evidence on US views of TTIP for the House of Lords EU Sub-Committee C’s inquiry into the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. Pp264-270. House of Lords, London, UK, 2013.
• Evidence on US views of the UK-EU relationship submitted to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee inquiry into UK-US relations. House of Commons, London, UK.
• With Volker Perthes and Nicolai von Ondarza SWP evidence on German views of EU security submitted to the House of Commons Joint Committee’s inquiry into the National Security Strategy, pp123-129. House of Commons, London, UK, 2013.

Shorter comment pieces

• ‘This referendum won’t settle the European question’ Demos Quarterly, May 2016.
• ‘Brexit or Bremain for British Security?’ Sustainable Security, May 2016
• ‘Facing Britain’s European Obsession’ Ripon Forum, April 2016.
• With Oliver Daddow, ‘The not so awkward partner’ LSE Brexit Vote Blog, April 2016.
• ‘Obama is right to repeat his opposition to Brexit’ UK in a Changing Europe, April 2016.
• ‘Preparations for a Brexit: Introduction’ LSE Brexit Vote Blog, April 2016. Editor of series covering every EU member state.
• ‘Facing Britain’s European Obsession’ The Ripon Forum, Vol 50, No. 2, April 2016.
• ‘How future UK EU referendums might happen’ Federal Trust blog, 29 Feb 2016.
• Compiled and edited the three part series ‘The European Parliament and the UK’s Renegotiation: what do MEPs think?’ LSE Brexit Vote blog, December 2015-Febraury 2016.
• ‘Britain and the EU: a question of International Relations’ LSE Brexit Vote blog, January 2016.
• ‘A kingdom of many parts: analysing how Londoners and the English view the EU is key’, LSE Brexit Vote blog, December 2015.
• ‘How the EU responds to a British withdrawal will be determined by 5 key factors’ LSE Brexit Vote blog, December 2015.
• ‘A question of National Security’ UK in a Changing Europe, November 2015.
• Compiled and edited the series ‘Views of the UK’s renegotiation: Russia, Ukraine, Turkey and India’ LSE Brexit Vote blog, November 2015.
• ‘Security and the Brexit debate’ LSE Brexit Vote blog, November 2015.
• ‘An elephant in the room: Brexit and the UK’s defence review’ LSE British Politics and Policy blog, Nov 2015.
• ‘Facing Europe’s British Question’ Queries Magazine, Autumn 2015.
• Compiled and edited the 27 piece series ‘EU member state views of the UK-EUrenegotiation’, LSE EUROPP blog, September-October 2015.
• ‘Brexit is an issue President Obama has every right to be concerned about’, USAPP Blog, Jul 2015.
• ‘Why it might not be alright on the Euro-referendum night’ E!Sharp, June 2015.
• Brexit: Europe's Awkward Questions about its Awkward Partner UACES (11 May 2015) 
• UK Would Lose 8% of Its Economy By Quitting the EU Huffington Post (6 may 2015)
• Little Britain's Big Election LSE US Politics Blog (May 6 2015)
• Will the British Question go away if Labour wins? E!Sharp (May 2015)
• Will the UK's General Election lead to an in-out referendum? E!Sharp (March 2015)
• An in-out referendum will not solve the European question in British politics British Politics and Policy at LSE (2 February 2015) 
• Can an in-out referendum solve the European question in British politics? E!Sharp (January 2015)
• Europe’s Brexit Question UACES Blog (29 January 2015)
• The United Kingdom and the European Union: what would a “Brexit” mean for the EU and other States around the World? DGAP, Berlin, Germany.
• Living Awkwardly Ever After: What if the British had voted to leave the European Economic Community in 1975? In Möller, Almut and Parkes, Roderick (eds.) What if the EU …? DGAP, Berlin, Germany.
• London, Britain and Europe: places apart?’ APSA British Politics Group Blog, (16 November 2014).
• 10 questions for the EU about a Brexit E!Sharp, (November 2014).
• The UK and Europe: should it come or go? europeangeostrategy.org (26 October 2014). 
• European and international views of the UK-EU relationship APSA British Politics Group Blog, (5 October 2014).
• Is it time for a balance of competences review of the UK? LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, (2 October 2014). 
• Europe to Britain: Our Patience is Running Out. Huffington Post (2 October 2014)
• Greater attention should be paid to the consequences of a “Brexit” for the EU and other states around the world, not just the UK LSE EUROPP Blog, (1 September 2014). 
• What would an EU without Britain look like? E-International Relations, (10 August 2014).
• Brexit Stage Right Foreign Policy, (22 July 2014)
• The Five Routes a British Exit from the EU Could Take Huffington Post, (30 June 2014).
• Scotland and the EU: at the Braveheart of Europe or a Little Britain? IP Journal (27 June 2014) 
• The Five Routes to a Brexit: how the UK might quit the EU’ LSE EUROPP Blog, (27 June 2014). 
• A “Brexit” would have important implications at the European and international levels’ LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, (27 June 2014). 
• Oliver, Tim (2014) London bucks the UKIP surge and appears headed in a direction far removed from the rest of the UK’, LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, (2 June 2014).
• If Scotland leaves the UK, will England leave the EU? E!Sharp, (May 2014)
• Londoners are no Little Englanders British Politics and Policy Blog (17 March 2014). 
• The dangers of a passive expulsion of Britain from the EU’ E!Sharp, (March 2014)
• With John Bruton, Consent of a majority of the rest of the EU will be needed if there is to be a new UK-EU relationship. LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, (16 January 2014). 
• The British Questions facing the next Commission E!Sharp, (January 2014)
• Why an In-Out Referendum Won’t Settle the European Question in British Politics. SWP, Berlin, Germany, 2013.
• Book review: A. Geddes, Britain and the European Union – by Andrew Geddes, International Affairs, 89(5), 2013, pp1340-1341.
• Cool the Talk of TTIP as an “Economic NATO” Huffington Post, (12 December 2013).
• A UK-EU Divorce: Bad News for America The National Interest, (3 December 2013)
• With Jeff Lightfoot Britain outside Europe? The US View IP Journal, DGAP, (November 2013).
• With Almut Möller, London and Berlin are not speaking the same language with it comes to EU reform. LSE EUROPP blog, (November 2013). 
• Is the EU asleep as the UK sleepwalks out of the EU? E!Sharp, (October 2013).
• The British Problem Facing a Transatlantic Trade Deal Huffington Post, (25 October 2013).
• The UK Government’s review of EU competences offers valuable academic insights into both Britain and the EU LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, (24 October 2013). 
• A European Union Without Britain is the Last Thing America Needs Huffington Post, (14 October 2013).
• The EU’s unwillingness to discuss the possibility of a “Brexit” is playing into the hands of Eurosceptics, LSE EUROPP blog, (September 2013). 
• Who Suffers Most from a Brexit, IP Journal, DGAP, (June 2013).

Other papers such as conference papers can be found on my academia.edu/TimOliver page.

Quoted in an FT piece on London and the EU

In the EU referendum, London is the capital of Remain

Multicultural metropolis at ease with immigration and globalisation

...The referendum has crystallised a broader divide between the confidence of London and the worries across the rest of Britain in the face of globalisation.

“Overall, London or Londoners win — in England, in the UK, in the European Union and globally. That is not the case for all Londoners, but overall they are winning in the political, the economic and cultural competitions that take place at those different levels,” said Dr Tim Oliver, a professor of politics at the London School of Economics.

For some British “outers”, he argued, this distant and diverse London itself had become a rallying cry for the need to leave the EU. ...

https://next.ft.com/content/4beff554-36c5-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7