Written evidence to the 'The indispensable ally? US, NATO and UK Defence relations inquiry' of the Commons Defence select committee.

Evidence submitted with Nick Kitchen to the House of Commons Defence Select Committee's inquiry into the US, NATO and UK defence relationship.

In the submission we explore the UK's strategic options which include: 

1. 'Switzerland with nukes'
2. A 'pivot' away from Europe
3. An EU-UK 'special relationship'
4. A 'global European balancer'
5. 'Adrift and lost at sea'

As we point out, each option must be assessed against two markers. First, whether they will allow the UK to respond to the strategic risks that Britain and its allies are likely to face in the near future. Second, the way in which the interests of allies in NATO – not least the United States – as well as the EU, may condition their reaction to each option. British decision makers cannot take for granted the way in which allies will react to the path the UK chooses to take.

Submission here. Full details of the inquiry here.

'The Brexit Negotiation to Come', article in the Wall St. Journal

My thoughts, with Andrew Hammond, on what happens next now that Theresa May has triggered Article 50, c/o the Wall St Journal.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-brexit-negotiation-to-come-1490730282

European Young Leaders, Lisbon, March 2017

Last week I spoke on a panel about Brexit at the European Young Leaders gathering in Lisbon. Joining me on the panel were Owen Jones and Denis MacShane. Pictures here, c/o Friends of Europe.

Lisbon LSE Alumni talk

Below are a few pictures of my talk last Thursday to the LSE Alumni group in Lisbon. Thanks to Emanuel (British Council) and Robert (LSE Alumni group) for setting this up and providing the pictures.

The Political Economy of Brexit

I have a chapter in the soon to be published 'The Political Economy of Brexit' edited by David Bailey and Leslie Budd. Further details of the book can be found on the Agenda website:  http://www.agendapub.com/books/political-economy?view=title&id=24

Theory and Brexit: can theoretical approaches help us understand Brexit?

My latest piece for the LSE's Brexit Blog explores various theoretical approaches to understanding Brexit.

Full piece here: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/03/14/theory-and-brexit-can-theoretical-approaches-help-us-understand-brexit/

Written evidence submitted to the House of Commons inquiry, 'Article 50 negotiations: Implications of 'no deal' inquiry'

The House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee today published its report 'Article 50 negotiations: Implications of 'no deal' inquiry.

The written evidence I submitted can be found here: http://data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/foreign-affairs-committee/implications-of-leaving-the-eu-for-the-uks-role-in-the-world/written/35660.html

The 14 Brexit Negotiations, Report from LSE IDEAS

The process of Brexit goes far beyond invoking Article 50. In this Strategic Update, Andrew Hammond and Tim Oliver identify some 14 Brexit negotiations underway - both formal diplomatic discussions and wider debates between and within the UK and EU.

How will these range of negotiations bring the EU centre stage, and do they point towards a 'hard exit' for the UK?   

Read the full report here: http://www.lse.ac.uk/IDEAS/publications/Strategic-Updates/brexit14.aspx 

Speaking to the LSE Alumni Group, Lisbon, 16 March

I'll be speaking to the LSE Alumni group in Lisbon in the evening of 16 March. Details below. 

Notes from Brexit Island, a public lecture
Dr Tim Oliver 

British Council, Lisbon  
Thursday March 16^th at 19h00 

Dr Tim Oliver is the Dahrendorf Fellow for Europe-North American relations at LSE IDEAS and a Teaching Fellow at UCL. The opinions expressed here are his own. His research focuses on UK politics, UK defence and security policy, UK-EU relations, European geopolitics and transatlantic relations. Educated at the University of Liverpool and the LSE, he has worked in the House of Lords, the European Parliament, the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Berlin), the SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations, and the RAND Corporation (both in Washington D.C.). He has taught at LSE, UCL and as a Senior Lecturer at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst. He is a non-resident fellow at the SAIS Center for Transatlantic Relations and has been a Visiting Scholar at NYU. 

Address:
British Council
Rua Luís Fernandes, 1 - 3 1249-062 Lisbon
Metro Stop : Rato